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2024-25 State Predictions: Preseason Predictions vs Results

2024-25 State Predictions: Preseason Predictions vs Results
Ryan James
Ryan James March 17, 2025 @ 11:21 AM
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<!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>How did our preseason predictions hold up in relation to the actual results of section tournaments? We have a look now!</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>Class AAAA</strong> (<em>prediction</em> – 2025 result)</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>1AAAA: <em>Farmington over Lakeville North</em> – Rochester JM over Lakeville North</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>2AAAA: <em>Shakopee over Chanhassen</em> – Shakopee over Prior Lake</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>3AAAA: <em>Eagan over Apple Valley</em> – Apple Valley over Eagan</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>4AAAA: <em>Cretin-Derham Hall over Tartan</em> – Cretin-Derham Hall over Tartan</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>5AAAA: <em>Park Center over Champlin Park</em> – Maple Grove over Champlin Park</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>6AAAA: <em>Wayzata over Hopkins</em> – Wayzata over Hopkins</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>7AAAA: <em>Anoka over Andover</em> – Anoka over Centennial</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>8AAAA: <em>Sauk Rapids-Rice over STMA</em> – Moorhead over STMA</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>Results</strong>: Four out of eight section winners correct, Eleven of sixteen section final participants correct.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>Note</strong>: Moorhead and Rochester JM have been two fun surprises, Moorhead in that I thought it was a rebuild year, and JM because I wasn't sure they could get past Farmington, South or North, but they did! </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p></p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>Class AAA</strong> (prediction – 2025 result)</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>1AAA: <em>Faribault over Stewartville</em> – Byron over Stewartville</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>2AAA: <em>Mankato East over Mankato West</em> – Mankato East over Marshall</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>3AAA: <em>St. Thomas Academy over South St. Paul</em> – St. Paul Harding over St. Thomas Academy</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>4AAA: <em>DeLaSalle over St. Paul Johnson</em> – DeLaSalle over St. Paul Johnson</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>5AAA: <em>Totino-Grace over Monticello</em> – Totino-Grace over Monticello</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>6AAA: <em>Orono over BSM</em> – Orono over BSM</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>7AAA: <em>North Branch over Duluth Denfeld</em> – Duluth Denfeld over Hibbing</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>8AAA: <em>Alexandria over Fergus Falls</em>– Alexandria over Fergus Falls</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>Results</strong>: Five of the eight winners correct, 12 of the 16 section title games picked correct</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>Note</strong>: I think Byron and Denfeld were the two teams that really played above the expectations many had throughout the season. </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p></p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>Class AA</strong> (prediction – 2025 result)</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>1AA: <em>Caledonia over Lake City</em> – Caledonia over Lake City</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>2AA: <em>Waseca over Belle Plaine</em> – Waseca over Belle Plaine</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>3AA: <em>Jackson County Center over Redwood Valley –</em> Montevideo over Jackson County Central </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>4AA: <em>Minnehaha Academy over St. Croix Lutheran</em> – Minnehaha Academy over St. Croix Lutheran</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>5AA: <em>Breck over Southwest Christian</em> – Breck over Minneapolis North</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>6AA: <em>Albany over Annandale </em>– Albany over Spectrum</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>7AA: <em>Pequot Lakes over Esko</em> – Pequot Lakes over Esko</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>8AA: <em>Pelican Rapids over Park Rapids</em> – Pelican Rapids over Barnesville</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>Results</strong>: Seven of eight section winners, 12 of 16 section final teams</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>Note</strong>: Montevideo's outstanding season stopped us from a perfect prediction in Class AA.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p></p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>Class A</strong>&nbsp;(prediction – 2024 result)</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>1A: <em>Goodhue over Rushford-Peterson </em>–Goodhue over Rushford-Peterson </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>2A: <em>BOLD over Springfield</em> – BOLD over Madelia</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>3A: <em>Dawson-Boyd over Hills-Beaver Creek</em> – Dawson-Boyd over Hills-Beaver Creek</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>4A: <em>Heritage Christian over Liberty Classical </em>– Heritage Christian over Liberty Classical </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>5A: <em>Nevis over East Central </em>– Nevis over Upsala</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>6A: <em>Ada Borup West over Henning </em>– Henning over West Central Area</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>7A: <em>Cherry over Mountain Iron Buhl </em>- Cherry over Deer River</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>8A: <em>Red Lake County over Fertile-Beltrami</em> – Red Lake County over KCC</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>Results</strong>: Seven out of eight correct for section winners, 12 of 16 section title game participants correct</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p></p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>Overall Results</strong></p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Section Champs: 23 out of 32.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Section Title Game: 47 of 64</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Last year I had 14 section winners correct out of 32. Last year was a very poor year. I got back to the normal area of 23 (26 is my all time best).</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Section wise I got 39 and 41 correct the past two years, this year I hit on 47 of 64 which was one of my best years ever. </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph -->

How did our preseason predictions hold up in relation to the actual results of section tournaments? We have a look now!

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