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Substate Preview: 3A-3

Substate Preview: 3A-3
Tony Roe
Tony Roe February 15, 2023 @ 07:02 PM
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In this article:

Cael Stephany
Cael Stephany 6'1" | PG | 2024
IA
Jackson Wells
Jackson Wells 5'11" | PG | 2027
IA
Jack Wells
Jack Wells 6'0" | PG | 2027
IA
John Nelson
John Nelson 6'4" | PF | 2026
IA
Jude Gibson
Jude Gibson 6'0" | PG | 2026
IA
Titan Schmitt
Titan Schmitt 6'0" | SG | 2025
IA
Reggie Postel
Reggie Postel 6'1" | SG | 2024
IA
Jacob Khounsourath
Jacob Khounsourath 6'1" | SG | 2024
IA
Jackson Nemmers
Jackson Nemmers 6'2" | SG | 2023
IA
Thomas Meyer
Thomas Meyer 6'4" | PF | 2025
IA
Mason Gorsh
Mason Gorsh 6'2" | SG | 2023
IA
Mason Hicks
Mason Hicks 6'4" | PG | 2023
IA
Charlie McDonald
Charlie McDonald 6'2" | SF | 2023
IA
Nathaniel Winter
Nathaniel Winter 6'4" | PG | 2023
IA
Scott Harr
Scott Harr 6'4" | C | 2024
IA
Brayden Dinkla
Brayden Dinkla 6'0" | PG | 2023
IA
Travaughn Luyobya
Travaughn Luyobya 5'10" | PG | 2023
IA
<!-- wp:image {"id":1797557,"sizeSlug":"full","linkDestination":"media"} --> <figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://prephoops.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2023/02/3A-3.png"><img src="https://prephoops.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2023/02/3A-3.png" alt="" class="wp-image-1797557" /></a></figure> <!-- /wp:image --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>The favorite: Clear Lake</strong> is one of just two 3A teams to rank within the top 10 in both scoring offense (4th, 72.6 points per game) and defense (2nd, 48.3). The Lions have been dominant this season, with their lone loss coming to Humboldt, a loss they avenged last week by 17 points. Senior point guard [player_tooltip player_id='1167712' first='Travaughn' last='Luyobya'] (18.8, 10.1 assists) leads an efficient offensive attack that is shooting nearly 54% from the floor as a team. Luyobya is a four-year starter and one of the best passers in the state, a veteran lead guard who wants to have the ball in his hands in the big moments. Sophomore forward [player_tooltip player_id='1381416' first='Thomas' last='Meyer'] (14.3, 7.1 rebounds) is an athletic forward who holds multiple Division I football offers, and he offers some explosive athleticism and finishing around the bucket. [player_tooltip player_id='2325311' first='Cael' last='Stephany'] (12.3, 41.3 3P%), [player_tooltip player_id='1759906' first='Titan' last='Schmitt'] (11.0, 40.7 3P%), and Gavin Anderson (4.6, 38.5 3P%) are all good shooting options to put alongside the slashing Luyobya and the powerful Meyer, making this a balanced offensive team filled with different ways to beat you. As the top seed in the substate, they'll avoid either Winterset or North Polk until the final, and they've already beaten Nevada by 17 in early January.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>The biggest threats: </strong>Raccoon River Conference rivals North Polk and Winterset split their season series, with North Polk winning by 2 on December 20th, and Winterset getting revenge by 5 on January 31st. They'll likely meet up in the semifinals here, and either of them will be very formidable foes for Clear lake in the substate final. We'll start here with the #2 seed, <strong>North Polk</strong>. The Comets have been a surprising team this year, putting together a fantastic season after losing one of the best players in school history to graduation. Junior [player_tooltip player_id='1751215' first='Reggie' last='Postel'] (11.9) leads a balanced scoring attack, but it's the defensive effort that makes this group dangerous. An athletic group that flies around the floor, they've allowed just 50.3 points a game so far this season, holding 14 teams below 50 points. No one player is going to kill you on the offensive end, but this group is going to suffocate you defensively and find ways to take away your best players. It will not be fun to play against this group, who is accustomed to playing at a slower pace, when postseason play begins. They're deep, athletic, and physical. </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>On the other end of the spectrum is <strong>Winterset</strong>, a team that likes to use it's quickness to speed the game up and force a bevy of turnovers. Senior guard [player_tooltip player_id='1167720' first='Brayden' last='Dinkla'] (16.6, 8.5 assists, 3.6 steals) is a menace on both ends of the floor. A lanky guard who uses his length and quickness to put pressure on opposing teams, Dinkla loves to attack the rim and is one of the most fearless guards in the state. As he showed last year at the state tournament, there are few guards in the state who want the big moment as much as he does. [player_tooltip player_id='1240080' first='Charlie' last='McDonald'] (11.5) is the only other double-figure scorer for the Huskies, but four others average between 7.0 and 9.7 points a game, making this a deep and balanced team behind Dinkla. After getting off to a bit of a slow start, Winterset has gone 10-3 since the holiday break, including 8-1 in their last nine games. </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>The dark horses:</strong> The winner of the 4/5 game between Ballard and Nevada could give Clear Lake some trouble in the semifinals if things bounce right. <strong>Nevada</strong> is led by junior guard [player_tooltip player_id='1751185' first='Jacob' last='Khounsourath'] (18.8, 3.5 assists), a dynamic three-level scorer who can create shots for himself or his teammates as well as defend multiple positions. The Cubs have five players averaging at least 8.2 points a game, and in the tandem of freshman [player_tooltip player_id='1765535' first='John' last='Nelson'] (8.4, 1.2 blocks) and senior Carson Rhodes (8.2, 2.8 blocks), they have some quality rim protection.</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><strong>Ballard </strong>has a fantastic tandem in the backcourt that will also make them a dangerous team if they start knocking down some shots. Senior [player_tooltip player_id='1240105' first='Mason' last='Gorsh'] (16.3, 39.7 3P%), a skilled off-ball guard who can really stroke it, is capable of getting scorching hot in the blink of an eye and lighting teams up from deep. Freshman guard [player_tooltip player_id='1765518' first='Jude' last='Gibson'] (15.2, 4.5 assists) is one of the most talented freshmen in the state, an explosive, quick-twitch athlete with a tremendous feel for the game. The Bombers are a pretty young group, and that could be either a detriment or a benefit in postseason play. </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p><span style="text-decoration: underline">Players to watch<br></span>2023 [player_tooltip player_id='1167712' first='Travaughn' last='Luyobya'], Clear Lake<br>2025 [player_tooltip player_id='1381416' first='Thomas' last='Meyer'], Clear Lake<br>2025 [player_tooltip player_id='1759906' first='Titan' last='Schmitt'], Clear Lake<br>2024 [player_tooltip player_id='2325311' first='Cael' last='Stephany'], Clear Lake<br>2024 [player_tooltip player_id='1751215' first='Reggie' last='Postel'], North Polk<br>2023 [player_tooltip player_id='1738652' first='Jackson' last='Nemmers'], North Polk<br>2023 [player_tooltip player_id='1167720' first='Brayden' last='Dinkla'], Winterset<br>2023 [player_tooltip player_id='1240080' first='Charlie' last='McDonald'], Winterset<br>2024 [player_tooltip player_id='1751185' first='Jacob' last='Khounsourath'], Nevada<br>2026 [player_tooltip player_id='1765535' first='John' last='Nelson'], Nevada<br>2023 [player_tooltip player_id='1240105' first='Mason' last='Gorsh'], Ballard<br>2026 [player_tooltip player_id='1765518' first='Jude' last='Gibson'], Ballard<br>2024 [player_tooltip player_id='1171692' first='Scott' last='Harr'], Hampton-Dumont-CAL<br>2024 Cade Boten, Saydel<br>2023 [player_tooltip player_id='1240103' first='Mason' last='Hicks'], Saydel<br>2023 [player_tooltip player_id='1240064' first='Nathaniel' last='Winter'], Boone</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph {"fontSize":"medium"} --> <p class="has-medium-font-size"><strong>SUBSTATE FINAL PREDICTION</strong></p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>Clear Lake vs. Winterset</p> <!-- /wp:paragraph --> <!-- wp:paragraph --> <p>This is a fascinating matchup between two of the best point guards not just in 3A, but in the state as a whole. The Luyobya vs. Dinkla matchup will be worth well more than the price of admission on its own. This one likely comes down to which role players perform better in the big moment, and we'll give the slight edge to <strong>Clear Lake</strong> in that regard. The Lions head to the state tournament, outlasting Winterset in a fantastic substate final. </p> <!-- /wp:paragraph -->
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